The Gristle

Less Wave Than Slosh

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

LESS WAVE THAN SLOSH: Election 2017 was not so much a referendum than a barometer for state and federal midterms next year. And for the struggling progressive Left—consuming itself in a nonproductive generational holy war—the forecast is mixed.

Remarking on the sluggish early returns and the attendant probability of a low-turnout election, the Everett Herald editorial board last week observed, “The irony is that off-year elections, where the races are local, often have the greatest impact on communities and residents, determining the local officials who will be making decisions regarding public safety, transportation, zoning, businesses, schools, fire protection, local taxes and more.”

Voting counts; and elections carry consequences. But there are also consequences in not voting.

The most expensive and most watched legislative race in state history ended in little better than a stalemate and continued paralysis of the upper chamber of the Legislature; and unresolved issues likely set the stage for the takeover of the lower chamber by Republicans next year.

Democrats seized their slim one-seat majority in the state Senate, with Manka Dhingra in a 55.4 percent win over Republican Jinyoung Lee Englund in Redmond’s 45th Legislative District race. The candidates and their supporters spent a record $9 million in an effort to capture the district to control the Senate. The campaign was only a portion of the more than $40 million that candidates and political committees participating in the 2017 election reported spending to the state’s Public Disclosure Commission.

State Sen. Reuven Carlyle, a Seattle Democrat, called independent spending in the 45th District a “painfully, horrifically unprecedented assault on common sense and a healthy democracy.”

Democrats—now with a single vote margin—will require extreme discipline within their caucus to thread their needle and achieve limited advances.

The affluent and urban Redmond district is one Democrats should be able to easily win, and they did, but the fact that they battled mightily in an all-out, all-in race foretells the struggle for anyone anticipating an easy tidal shift in midterms next year.

Locally, tepid early turnout threatened the coalition fighting against the expansion of fossil fuel exports at Cherry Point. Whatcom County Council remains empowered to replace Todd Donovan in his current district when the decision comes in front of Council early next year. A tidal shift and paralysis in membership might have allowed the County Executive to appoint a replacement for that position until a special election next November. Instead, with the reelection of Barry Buchanan, Council will control its own membership.

Council wins spell continued action on criminal justice reform; water and resource issues; and efforts to bring the county in compliance with state law. Council’s discussion of a special purpose taxing district to help pay for the restoration of Lake Whatcom will continue as a result of Tuesday’s election.

In her race against Council President Buchanan, challenger Mary Kay Robinson in particular racked up more than $164,000 in contributions and independent expenditures, much of it from realtors, land speculators, and gas and oil interests—eight times what the incumbent Buchanan received in independent expenditure support.

A more perilous outcome threatens the Bellingham waterfront.

A plurality had already formed on the current Port of Bellingham commission to turn the site immediately over to Harcourt Developments, the Irish firm still struggling to complete its overdue contract on the Granary Building, and declare the responsibilities of the port discharged. The election of Ken Bell—who will otherwise be a perfectly fine representative of an agency whose primary mission is economic development—perhaps cements the port’s deference to a remote developer with sketchy finances and spotty, mercurial performance on development goals. If he’s a smart businessman, Bell will consider carefully and cautiously the partner he’s asked to empower.

Overall, the unease of this election was based on a worrisome phenomenon: “Democrats do not tend to turn out like Republicans do in non-presidential elections, mostly because the two parties are now polarized between demographic groups that do (old white folks) and don’t (minority voters and millennials) proportionately participate in down-ballot contests,” political analyst Ed Kilgore noted in a recent column.

The Ds have lost their powers to dazzle a new generation, but what replaces their powers of GOTV?

One can admire the fervor of young progressives to seek new and better avenues of representation than the tired party lines that have served their demographic so poorly. But they’ve decided elections don’t work at a moment where we need elections very badly. And—much like Neville Chamberlain’s commitment to peace in 1938—their dissolution arrives at a moment of supreme risk for progressive outcomes, with nearly two-thirds of state legislatures and the national Congress in the hands of one of the most determined and well-funded political machines in world history—an increasingly authoritarian and unhinged Republican Party.

We can decry political parties and wish them gone, but what replaces their organizing power and their sustained ability to subordinate competing goals and build coalitions?

“If you don’t vote, your hostility to Trump—or to Republicans—doesn’t much matter electorally,” Kilgore comments dryly. “And to be frank about it, if you are a progressive voter who doesn’t consider President Trump to be a sufficient motivator to show up, whether he’s on the ballot or not, then Democrats do have a big challenge next year.”

Democracy is a venture that suffers under boycott. Know hope.

Btown Valentines
Past Columns
New Energy

January 17, 2018

Save Our Salish Sea

January 10, 2018

Predictions of Protractions

January 3, 2018

Parsing the Puzzle

December 27, 2017

Camp Kelli

December 20, 2017

Gifts of the Three Magi

December 13, 2017

Utility

December 6, 2017

Gulag Goulash

November 29, 2017

Bronze Rule

November 22, 2017

Napkin Plan

November 15, 2017

Statistics of Shame

November 1, 2017

Cashing Out, Cashing In

October 25, 2017

A Creeping Paralysis

October 18, 2017

Fire and Water

October 11, 2017

Blockadia

September 27, 2017

Ounce of Prevention

September 20, 2017

Dwelling On It

September 13, 2017

Keeping the Dream Alive

September 6, 2017

A Bridge Too Far?

August 23, 2017

The Missing Middle

August 16, 2017

Events
Today
Cascade Games Convention

9:00am|Bellingham Cruise Terminal

Wild Things

9:30am|Lake Padden Park

Garage Sale and Health Fair

12:00pm|Settlemyer Hall

Books and Bites

2:00pm|Blaine Library

Post-Holiday Detox

2:00pm|Cordata Community Food Co-op

Coffee Tasting

3:00pm|Camber Cafe

Food Not Bombs

4:00pm|Downtown Bellingham

Bellingham Folk Festival

4:30pm|Bellingham Unitarian Fellowship

Art Auction Gala

5:30pm|Whatcom Museum's Lightcatcher Building

Anacortes Women's March

6:00pm|Depot Arts Center

Family Story Night

6:00pm|Fairhaven Library

Sierra Club Winter Member Party

6:30pm|Boundary Bay Brewery

Xanadu

7:00pm|Bellingham Arts Academy for Youth

Opera Scenes

7:30pm|Performing Arts Center

The Flick

7:30pm|Sylvia Center for the Arts

Tropical Heat Wave Dance

8:00pm|Majestic

Space Trek, Backyard Brawl

8:00pm|Upfront Theatre

Five for Fighting

8:00pm|Mount Baker Theatre

FiveFor
Tomorrow
Cascade Games Convention

9:00am|Bellingham Cruise Terminal

Garage Sale and Health Fair

12:00pm|Settlemyer Hall

Bellingham Folk Festival

4:30pm|Bellingham Unitarian Fellowship

Xanadu

7:00pm|Bellingham Arts Academy for Youth

The Flick

7:30pm|Sylvia Center for the Arts

Space Trek, Backyard Brawl

8:00pm|Upfront Theatre

Pancake Breakfast

8:00am|Ferndale Senior Center

VFW Breakfast

8:00am|VFW Hall

Smoking Crow Opening

9:00am|Smoking Crow

Mason Bee Management

9:00am|Garden Spot Nursery

Nordic Ski Ambassadors

10:00am|SnoPark at Salmon Ridge

Plant Society Field Trip

10:00am|Birch Bay State Park

Skagit Eagle Festival

10:00am|Howard Miller Steelhead Park

March on Bellingham

10:00am|Bellingham City Hall

Winter Farmers Market

10:00am|Depot Market Square

Of marching and mending

12:00pm

Travel to Cuzco and Machu PIcchu

1:00pm|Blaine Library

Mysticism in Art

2:00pm|Skagit County Historical Museum

Mona Openings

2:00pm|Museum of Northwest Art

Cedar Weaving Workshop

2:00pm|Lynden Library

Teddy Bear Biographies

2:00pm|Ferndale Library

Exploring Port

2:00pm|Seifert & Jones Wine Merchants

Learn to Grow a Vegetable Garden

2:00pm|Sumas Library

The Fight Against Human Trafficking

3:00pm|Everson Library

Kindgom Quest

4:00pm|Village Books

Music and Memories

5:00pm|Swinomish Casino & Lodge

Robert Burns Supper

5:30pm|Littlefield Celtic Center

Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea

7:30pm|McIntyre Hall

Ensemble Electra

7:30pm|Jansen Art Center

The Good Lovelies

7:30pm|Lincoln Theatre

Village Books FiveFor
Sunday
Cascade Games Convention

9:00am|Bellingham Cruise Terminal

Bellingham Folk Festival

4:30pm|Bellingham Unitarian Fellowship

Xanadu

7:00pm|Bellingham Arts Academy for Youth

Skagit Eagle Festival

10:00am|Howard Miller Steelhead Park

Community Breakfast

8:00am|American Legion Post #43

Rabbit Ride

8:00am|Fairhaven Bicycle

Rabbit Ride

8:30am|Fairhaven Bicycle

Bellingham Chamber Music Society

3:00pm|First Congregational Church

Nonfiction and Memoir Writing Group

3:00pm|Village Books

Southside Community Meal

5:00pm|Our Saviour's Lutheran Church

Way North Comedy

7:00pm|Farmstrong Brewing Co.

see our complete calendar »

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